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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Paris FC
U T S T S
0–1
Full-time
Valenciennes
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 55%
70%
40%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 10. · Valenciennes 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Amiens 10 6 2 2 +4 20
3 Sochaux 10 6 1 3 +11 19
4 Le Havre 10 5 4 1 +11 19
5 Guingamp 10 5 3 2 +6 18
6 Valenciennes 10 4 4 2 +1 16
7 Bastia 10 5 1 4 -1 16
8 Caen 10 4 3 3 +4 15
9 Metz 11 4 2 5 +1 14
10 Paris FC 10 3 4 3 -1 13
11 Grenoble 10 3 4 3 -2 13
12 Dijon 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 St Etienne 10 2 5 3 -1 11
14 Laval 10 3 1 6 -4 10
15 Rodez 10 2 4 4 -5 10
16 Quevilly Rouen 10 2 4 4 -6 10
17 Pau FC 10 2 4 4 -7 10
18 Annecy 10 2 3 5 -4 9
19 Nimes 10 2 2 6 -5 8
20 Niort 10 2 2 6 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Valenciennes
22′
N. Diliberto 0–1
Q. Lecoeuche
Half-time 0–1
Kouadio Dabila 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Jonathan Buatu-Mananga
Kouadio Dabila 🟨
56′
Kouadio Dabila 🟥
56′
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ I. Kebbal
57′
S. Chergui 🔁
↦ J. Iglesias
72′
L. Phiri 🔁
↦ J. Le Cardinal
72′
78′
🔁 F. Ayité
↦ M. Picouleau
80′
🟨 Jason Berthomier
85′
🔁 A. Zinga
↦ I. Hamache
M. Chahiri 🔁
↦ J. López
86′
86′
🔁 L. Nomel
↦ N. Diliberto
93′
🔁 A. Linguet
↦ U. Bonnet
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-4-2
40 I. Filipović G
26 J. Le Cardinal D
13 K. Dabila D
24 M. Bernauer D
15 J. Lefort D
11 I. Kebbal M
14 C. Mandouki M
10 J. Iglesias M
27 A. Gory M
20 J. López F
21 M. Guilavogui F
Bench (7)
29 F. Hanin
31 S. Chergui
12 L. Phiri
7 M. Chahiri
3 J. Hadjam
22 W. Caddy
1 V. Demarconnay

Coach: T. Laurey

Valenciennes

4-3-1-2
1 G. Larsonneur G
14 J. Cuffaut D
26 M. Debuchy D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
8 N. Diliberto M
21 M. Kaba M
27 M. Picouleau M
5 J. Berthomier M
20 I. Hamache F
11 U. Bonnet F
Bench (7)
7 F. Ayité
15 A. Zinga
18 L. Nomel
24 A. Linguet
16 H. Konaté
37 M. Rabuel
9 M. Noubissi

Coach: N. Rabuel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U
3,55
B ✓
4,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.