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Puchar Polski

Referee: S Tarnowski

Jastrzębie

0–2

Full-time

Warta Poznan

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jastrzębie Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

5,0

2,3

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Radunia Stężyca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Jastrzębie	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Jastrzębie	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
24	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jastrzębie Warta Poznan

20′

⚽ D. Stavropoulos 0–1

32′

🔁 J. Grzesik

↦ M. Jakóbowski

41′

🔁 K. Matuszewski

↦ J. Kiełb

Half-time 0–1

B. Boruń 🔁

↦ S. Pryka

46′

D. Kamiński 🔁

↦ F. Kozłowski

46′

🔁 D. Szymonowicz

↦ D. Stavropoulos

46′

🔁 Miguel Luís

↦ M. Żurawski

J. Kasperowicz 🟥

47′

Y. Zakharchenko 🔁

↦ D. Szymczak

48′

50′

⚽ E. Destan 0–2

N. Wybraniec 🟨

52′

Y. Zakharchenko 🟨

57′

D. Stanclik 🔁

↦ J. Passoni

57′

F. Ali 🔁

↦ N. Wybraniec

57′

84′

🔁 M. Rakowski

↦ M. Corryn

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Jastrzębie

M. Antkowiak

K. Kawula

F. Kozłowski

D. Szkudlarek

R. Borkała

N. Wybraniec

N. Wysiński

J. Kasperowicz

S. Pryka

D. Szymczak

J. Passoni

Bench (9)

B. Boruń

D. Kamiński

Y. Zakharchenko

D. Stanclik

F. Ali

G. Drazik

K. Jadach

P. Lech

S. Gołuch

Coach: G. Kurdziel

Warta Poznan

J. Grobelny

J. Kiełb

D. Stavropoulos

W. Pleśnierowicz

M. Kupczak

M. Jakóbowski

N. Mäenpää

M. Corryn

M. Żurawski

K. Szmyt

E. Destan

Bench (9)

J. Grzesik

K. Matuszewski

D. Szymonowicz

Miguel Luís

M. Rakowski

A. Lis

J. Paszkowski

R. Ivanov

S. Sarbinowski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

27. Jul CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Jastrzębie

Warta Poznan

Odds comparison

Recent matches