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Puchar Polski
Referee: S Jarzebak
1–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

4 Corners 8
5 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie Sosnowiec 16. · Gornik Zabrze 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Warta Poznan 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Carina Gubin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stal Brzeg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Legia Warszawa II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
37 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Gornik Zabrze
Dawid Ryndak 🟨
6′
22′
🟨 Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
1–0 D. Ryndak
23′
37′
A. Kaprálik 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Dani Pacheco
↦ Filipe Nascimento
46′
🔁 P. Olkowski
↦ L. Ennali
61′
🟨 Norbert Barczak
K. Bębenek 🔁
↦ N. Zielonka
68′
M. Fábry 🔁
↦ K. Biliński
68′
T. Klupś 🔁
↦ J. Valencia
68′
71′
🔁 B. Sekulić
↦ N. Barczak
72′
🔁 K. Lukoszek
↦ R. Dadok
Kamil Bebenek 🟨
79′
93′
🟨 Adrian Kaprálik
95′
🟨 Boris Sekulić
Oleksii Bykov 🟨
105′
105′
P. Olkowski 1–2
K. Wrzesiński 🔁
↦ D. Ryndak
106′
Oleksii Bykov 🟨
110′
113′
🟨 Dani Pacheco
A. Troć 🔁
↦ T. Klupś
114′
116′
🟨 Kamil Lukoszek
116′
🔁 D. Rasak
↦ Dani Pacheco
118′
🟨 Sebastian Musiolik
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

3-4-2-1
G. Sorčan G
D. Jończy D
O. Bykov D
M. Machała D
D. Ryndak D
S. Bonecki M
M. Karwot M
M. Ziemann D
J. Valencia M
N. Zielonka F
K. Biliński F
Bench (9)
K. Bębenek
M. Fábry
T. Klupś
K. Wrzesiński
A. Troć
D. Guezen
M. Kos
P. Caliński
Ł. Uchnast

Coach: M. Malinowski

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-2-1
M. Szromnik G
N. Barczak M
K. Szcześniak D
K. Triantafyllópoulos D
M. Sipľak M
S. Czyż M
R. Dadok M
Filipe Nascimento M
L. Ennali F
A. Kaprálik F
S. Musiolik F
Bench (9)
Dani Pacheco
P. Olkowski
B. Sekulić
K. Lukoszek
D. Rasak
D. Bielica
M. Chmarek
P. Krawczyk
R. Janicki

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.