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Copa del Rey
Referee: Iván Caparrós
0–4
Full-time
Eibar
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buñol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Turégano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Atlético Lugones 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Tardienta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Boiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Quintanar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
26 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorca Deportiva Eibar
28′
🔁 Ángel Troncho
↦ Y. Qasmi
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 Iker Alday
↦ Rober Correa
68′
Ángel Troncho 0–1
José Corpas
Cristo 🔁
↦ Hamza El Harchi
72′
77′
🔁 K. de La Fuente
↦ Quique González
77′
🔁 Ager Aketxe
↦ José Corpas
77′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ Y. Rahmani
M. Feriani 🔁
↦ Andrés
79′
Sergio Cases 🔁
↦ Dani Bermejo
79′
Baró Moreno 🔁
↦ Juande Martínez
79′
K. Martín 🔁
↦ Héctor Fernández
80′
80′
K. de La Fuente 0–2
83′
Ager Aketxe 0–3
90′
Ager Aketxe 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Lorca Deportiva

4-4-2
1 Cristian Arco G
15 Fran Navarro
4 Juande Martínez D
2 Andrés
14 Héctor Fernández
10 Alberto Rodríguez M
7 Adrián Miñarro
6 H. Adamou M
20 Hamza El Harchi
17 Dani Bermejo
9 Javi Solsona F
Bench (10)
19 Cristo
8 M. Feriani
11 Sergio Cases
3 Baró Moreno
22 K. Martín
13 L. Scaccia
16 Fran Bertomeu
18 Ángel Écija
21 Iñaki Mendizabal
5 Peli

Coach: Jorge Perona

Eibar

4-4-2
13 Yoel Rodríguez G
4 Rober Correa D
22 S. Simič D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
2 Cristian Gutiérrez D
11 Y. Rahmani M
14 Unai Vencedor M
12 J. Yriarte M
17 José Corpas M
9 Y. Qasmi F
7 Quique González F
Bench (9)
31 Ángel Troncho
28 Iker Alday
27 K. de La Fuente
10 Ager Aketxe
18 Jon Bautista
29 Ander Madariaga
33 Hodei Arrillaga
1 L. Zidane
32 Aritz Muguruza

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.