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KNVB Beker

Referee: S Teuben

Groene Ster

S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Vitesse

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groene Ster Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 46%

75%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groene Ster	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	OJC Rosmalen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	RKAV Volendam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	UNA	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	DEM	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	FC Lisse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
39	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
43	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groene Ster	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	DEM	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
9	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	FC Lisse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
27	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	UNA	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
44	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
45	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.