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DFB-Pokal

Referee: F Lechner

FC 08 Homburg

2–1

Full-time

Greuther Furth

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC 08 Homburg Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,8

Conceded

0,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,7

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

5 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 6

5 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC 08 Homburg 16. · Greuther Furth 29. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
62	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
23	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
24	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
25	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
26	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
27	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
28	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
29	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
30	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
31	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
32	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC 08 Homburg Greuther Furth

Maximilian Jansen 🟨

8′

1–0 F. Eisele ⚽

M. Mendler

31′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 A. Sieb

↦ B. Schlicke

52′

⚽ B. Hrgota 1–1

P. Harres 🔁

↦ F. Eisele

58′

62′

🟨 Maximilian Dietz

68′

🔁 J. Consbruch

↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou

68′

🔁 G. Jung

↦ D. Michalski

A. Stavridis 🔁

↦ P. Hoffmann

69′

83′

🔁 T. Lemperle

↦ S. Asta

2–1 P. Harres ⚽

P. Weihrauch

83′

86′

🔁 L. Petkov

↦ D. Abiama

D. Hummel 🔁

↦ M. Mendler

89′

David Hummel 🟨

90′

92′

🟨 Tim Lemperle

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

FC 08 Homburg

5-4-1

12 T. Kretzschmar G

26 T. Steinmetz D

21 B. Kirchhoff D

10 L. Quirin D

30 M. Heilig D

8 M. Dombrowka D

13 P. Hoffmann M

22 P. Weihrauch M

20 M. Jansen M

11 M. Mendler M

23 F. Eisele F

Bench (9)

9 P. Harres

16 A. Stavridis

19 D. Hummel

3 D. Lippert

27 I. Knežević

31 N. Jörg

5 R. Akoto

7 A. Ardestani

1 J. Mayer

Coach: D. Schwarz

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2

A. Linde G

M. Dietz D

D. Michalski D

15 B. Schlicke D

S. Asta M

13 O. Kiomourtzoglou M

37 J. Green M

5 O. Haddadi M

B. Hrgota F

11 D. Abiama F

D. Srbeny F

Bench (9)

30 A. Sieb

14 J. Consbruch

23 G. Jung

19 T. Lemperle

16 L. Petkov

22 R. Wagner

40 J. Urbig

3 O. Mhamdi

21 K. Çalhanoğlu

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

14. Aug POK 3 years ago

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,4 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

23,3 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

FC 08 Homburg

Greuther Furth

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee