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Copa del Rey
Referee: Mateo Busquets
0–2
Full-time
Almeria
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
7 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buñol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Turégano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Atlético Lugones 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Tardienta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Boiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Quintanar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
26 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

CF Talavera Almeria
14′
L. Ramazani 0–1
Tass 🟨
32′
45′
Marezi 0–2
Sergio Arribas
Half-time 0–2
A. Szymanowski 🔁
↦ Y. Tassembedo
46′
Nacho Abeledo 🔁
↦ Caio Emerson
46′
J. Dago 🟨
54′
60′
🟨 H. Mendes
Pipo 🔁
↦ Edu Gallardo
67′
Dani Ramos 🔁
↦ Hugo Anglada
67′
67′
🔁 Chumi
↦ Álex Pozo
67′
🔁 Léo Baptistão
↦ Marezi
Sergio Blazquez 🔁
↦ Julen Agirre
79′
80′
🔁 Lázaro
↦ Arnau Puigmal
80′
🔁 Marciano Sanca
↦ L. Ramazani
J. Fontan 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 C. Montes
86′
🔁 C. Montes
↦ Gonzalo Melero
92′
🟨 C. Montes
92′
🟥 C. Montes
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

CF Talavera

4-3-3
13 Álex Fernández
2 Javi Fontán
14 Hugo Anglada D
5 Carlos Daniel Dorado D
3 Josema Gallego D
6 Julen Agirre
20 Rementeria M
18 Y. Tassembedo
11 Edu Gallardo F
9 J. Dago F
23 Caio Emerson
Bench (10)
8 A. Szymanowski
17 Nacho Abeledo
7 Pipo
4 Dani Ramos
30 Sergio Blazquez
16 Javi Rey
1 Biel Ribas
19 S. Loukou
21 C. Ruane
22 David Morante

Coach: Pedro Díaz

Almeria

4-2-3-1
25 Luís Maximiano G
24 Houboulang Mendes D
2 Kaiky D
3 Edgar González D
17 Álex Pozo D
6 D. Lopy M
11 Gonzalo Melero M
8 Arnau Puigmal M
19 Sergio Arribas M
7 L. Ramazani M
29 Marezi F
Bench (11)
21 Chumi
12 Léo Baptistão
14 Lázaro
34 Marciano Sanca
22 C. Montes
13 Fernando Martínez
30 Carlos Ballestero
10 Adri Embarba
32 Miguel Peñalver
26 Marcos Peña
1 Diego Mariño

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.