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KNVB Beker
Referee: E Blank
De Graafschap
T S S S T
2–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 7
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Groene Ster 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 RKAV Volendam 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 UNA 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 DEM 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 TEC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 SJC Noordwijk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
16 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 SVV Scheveningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Quick Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 FC Lisse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
37 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
42 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
71 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
72 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.