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Copa del Rey

Referee: Daniel Palencia

Cacereño

S S T

2–3

Full-time

Castellon

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cacereño Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Turégano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Quintanar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Turégano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Quintanar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.