Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lillestrom
hodd
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | +49 | 62 |
| 2 |
Start
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 41 |
| 3 |
Lyn
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | +12 | 41 |
| 4 |
Aalesund
|
22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | +13 | 38 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 6 |
Sogndal
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +2 | 36 |
| 7 |
Ranheim
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 |
Egersund
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 33 |
| 9 |
Odd
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 |
Raufoss
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |
Moss
|
24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -28 | 15 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | -20 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Hedenstad
L. Ranger
R. Gabrielsen
S. Foss
F. Elkaer
M. Karlsbakk
E. Kitolano
H. Woxen
Y. Paintsil
T. Olsen
S. Drammeh
Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard
I. Skotheim
Coach: Marius Lenni Bøe
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Moss
Lillestrom
Sandnes ULF
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Mjondalen
Sogndal
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Skeid
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.