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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Gaziantep
S T U S T
0–3
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 43%
42%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
46%
44%
Both score Ø 51%
46%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 10. · Ad. Demirspor 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 25 18 6 1 +26 60
2 Konyaspor 25 14 7 4 +18 49
3 Buyuksehyr 25 13 4 8 +13 43
4 Ad. Demirspor 25 11 8 6 +12 41
5 Besiktas 26 11 8 7 +5 41
6 Alanyaspor 25 11 7 7 +8 40
7 Fenerbahce 25 11 7 7 +8 40
8 Hatayspor 25 12 3 10 -2 39
9 Kayserispor 26 10 8 8 +1 38
10 Gaziantep 24 10 5 9 +1 35
11 Sivasspor 25 8 10 7 +3 34
12 Karagumruk 25 9 6 10 -9 33
13 Antalyaspor 26 8 7 11 -7 31
14 Kasimpasa 26 7 8 11 -2 29
15 Galatasaray 25 7 8 10 -5 29
16 Goztep 25 7 6 12 -6 27
17 Giresunspor 26 7 5 14 -6 26
18 Rizespor 26 6 5 15 -22 23
19 Altay 26 6 4 16 -13 22
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 25 4 4 17 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Ad. Demirspor
18′
⚽ B. Assombalonga 0–1
M. Vargas
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
40′
42′
🟨 Yunus Akgün
Half-time 0–1
A. Maxim 🔁
↦ R. Niyaz
46′
João Figueiredo 🔁
↦ S. Caulker
46′
A. Toșca 🔁
↦ H. Mendyl
46′
66′
🔁 Birkir Bjarnason
↦ Y. Belhanda
66′
🔁 S. Kurt
↦ B. Stambouli
69′
⚽ Birkir Bjarnason 0–2
J. Svensson
T. Børven 🔁
↦ Á. Sagal
70′
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ F. Soyalp
78′
Papy Djilobodji 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 D. Akintola
↦ Y. Akgün
82′
⚽ B. Assombalonga 0–3
K. Kanak
87′
🔁 A. Uludağ
↦ K. Kanak
87′
🔁 E. Öztümer
↦ B. Assombalonga
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Gaziantep

3-5-2
1 G. Güvenç G
45 S. Caulker D
3 P. Djilobodji D
70 S. Kitsiou M
15 E. Ersoy D
27 H. Mendyl M
74 A. Vetrih M
20 R. Niyaz M
5 F. Soyalp M
10 M. Demir F
28 Á. Sagal F
Bench (10)
44 A. Maxim
25 João Figueiredo
6 A. Toșca
22 T. Børven
18 A. El Messaoudi
21 D. Erdoğan
17 O. Ceylan
52 A. Merkel
16 P. Olkowski
71 M. Bozan

Coach: E. Bulut

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
6 K. Kanak D
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
2 T. Sanuç D
88 G. İnler M
10 Y. Belhanda M
90 B. Stambouli M
77 M. Vargas M
7 B. Assombalonga F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
67 Birkir Bjarnason
8 S. Kurt
11 D. Akintola
25 A. Uludağ
50 E. Öztümer
35 F. Kaplan
4 S. Güler
17 M. Mimaroğlu
91 S. Deli
80 D. Đoković

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U
3,40
B ✓
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

K Sağlam · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.