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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydın

Fenerbahce

S S S S S

5–0

Full-time

Rizespor

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Rizespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,77 xG 0,25

66% Possession 34%

23 Shots 5

11 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Rizespor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+10	+10.1	19
2	Fenerbahce	6	6	0	0	+10	+9.5	18
3	Trabzonspor	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.6	12
4	Kasimpasa	7	3	3	1	-1	+0.2	12
5	Ad. Demirspor	6	3	2	1	+5	+2.0	11
6	Hatayspor	7	2	5	0	+5	+2.1	11
7	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
8	Besiktas	6	3	1	2	-1	+3.7	10
9	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
10	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	+2	-2.2	9
11	Antalyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	+1.0	9
12	Alanyaspor	6	1	4	1	+1	-0.2	7
13	Sivasspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-0.5	7
14	Ankaragücü	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.7	6
15	Karagumruk	7	1	3	3	-1	-4.7	6
16	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-7	-8.2	6
17	Pendikspor	7	0	4	3	-8	-4.1	4
18	Buyuksehyr	6	1	0	5	-8	-1.0	3
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-5.9	2
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+6	+6.1	9
2	Ad. Demirspor	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.1	9
3	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
5	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
6	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
7	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
8	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
9	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
10	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.1	5
11	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
12	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
13	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
14	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
15	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
16	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
18	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
19	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
4	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
5	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
6	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
7	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
8	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
9	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
10	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
11	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	+1	-2.7	3
12	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-4	-6.6	3
13	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.5	3
14	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.7	3
15	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
16	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
17	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
18	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.