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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Burda

Holstein Kiel

U S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Osnabruck

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Osnabruck

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

61%

18%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

57%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 2. · Osnabruck 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	28	16	9	3	+23	57
2	Holstein Kiel	28	17	4	7	+21	55
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	14	7	7	+26	49
4	Hamburg	28	14	6	8	+14	48
5	Hannover	28	11	11	6	+15	44
6	Hertha	29	12	8	9	+12	44
7	Karlsruhe	28	11	9	8	+15	42
8	Greuther Furth	29	12	6	11	-2	42
9	Paderborn	28	11	6	11	-5	39
10	Nurnberg	28	10	7	11	-14	37
11	Elversberg	28	10	6	12	-9	36
12	Magdeburg	28	8	8	12	-6	32
13	Schalke 04	28	9	5	14	-12	32
14	Wehen	28	8	7	13	-7	31
15	Hansa Rostock	29	9	4	16	-21	31
16	Braunschweig	28	9	3	16	-11	30
17	Kaiserslautern	29	8	5	16	-13	29
18	Osnabruck	28	5	9	14	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	9	5	0	+18	32
2	Hamburg	14	10	0	4	+14	30
3	Greuther Furth	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Karlsruhe	15	8	5	2	+17	29
5	Hannover	14	7	6	1	+16	27
6	Hertha	15	7	5	3	+19	26
7	Holstein Kiel	14	8	1	5	+5	25
8	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+7	24
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	3	4	+7	24
10	Magdeburg	14	6	3	5	+4	21
11	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+3	21
12	Hansa Rostock	14	6	2	6	-3	20
13	Kaiserslautern	14	6	1	7	-3	19
14	Nurnberg	14	5	4	5	-6	19
15	Paderborn	14	5	3	6	-2	18
16	Elversberg	14	5	3	6	-4	18
17	Wehen	13	4	5	4	-1	17
18	Osnabruck	14	3	5	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	14	9	3	2	+16	30
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	4	3	+19	25
3	St Pauli	14	7	4	3	+5	25
4	Paderborn	14	6	3	5	-3	21
5	Hamburg	14	4	6	4	+0	18
6	Elversberg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Hertha	14	5	3	6	-7	18
8	Nurnberg	14	5	3	6	-8	18
9	Hannover	14	4	5	5	-1	17
10	Wehen	15	4	2	9	-6	14
11	Karlsruhe	13	3	4	6	-2	13
12	Greuther Furth	14	3	3	8	-13	12
13	Magdeburg	14	2	5	7	-10	11
14	Hansa Rostock	15	3	2	10	-18	11
15	Kaiserslautern	15	2	4	9	-10	10
16	Osnabruck	14	2	4	8	-19	10
17	Braunschweig	14	3	0	11	-14	9
18	Schalke 04	14	2	2	10	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.