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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Bordeaux

U U T U S

2–3

Full-time

Bastia

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

35%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

45%

42%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

39%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

77% Possession 23%

17 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bordeaux 11. · Bastia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	31	17	10	4	+28	61
2	St Etienne	32	16	6	10	+14	54
3	Angers	31	16	6	9	+12	54
4	Laval	31	13	10	8	+5	49
5	Rodez	31	12	11	8	+8	47
6	Paris FC	31	12	10	9	+5	46
7	Caen	31	13	6	12	+2	45
8	Guingamp	31	11	11	9	+6	44
9	Pau FC	31	11	11	9	+1	44
10	Amiens	31	10	13	8	-2	43
11	Bordeaux	31	11	9	11	-4	42
12	Ajaccio	32	11	9	12	-4	42
13	Grenoble	31	10	11	10	+2	41
14	Bastia	31	10	8	13	-7	38
15	Dunkerque	31	10	8	13	-13	38
16	Annecy	31	9	9	13	-4	36
17	Troyes	31	8	11	12	-6	35
18	Concarneau	31	9	6	16	-13	33
19	Quevilly Rouen	31	5	14	12	-4	29
20	Valenciennes	31	2	11	18	-26	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	16	11	3	2	+14	36
2	Auxerre	16	9	5	2	+16	32
3	Ajaccio	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Rodez	15	7	6	2	+10	27
5	St Etienne	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	Bordeaux	15	7	5	3	+6	26
7	Paris FC	16	7	4	5	+6	25
8	Bastia	16	7	4	5	-2	25
9	Caen	15	7	3	5	+7	24
10	Grenoble	15	6	6	3	+5	24
11	Pau FC	16	6	6	4	+4	24
12	Troyes	15	7	2	6	+4	23
13	Amiens	16	5	8	3	+2	23
14	Guingamp	15	5	6	4	+6	21
15	Laval	16	5	5	6	-5	20
16	Annecy	16	4	6	6	-4	18
17	Concarneau	15	4	3	8	-9	15
18	Dunkerque	16	4	3	9	-12	15
19	Quevilly Rouen	15	2	6	7	-4	12
20	Valenciennes	15	1	6	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+12	29
2	Laval	15	8	5	2	+10	29
3	St Etienne	16	8	3	5	+6	27
4	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Dunkerque	15	6	5	4	-1	23
6	Paris FC	15	5	6	4	-1	21
7	Caen	16	6	3	7	-5	21
8	Rodez	16	5	5	6	-2	20
9	Pau FC	15	5	5	5	-3	20
10	Amiens	15	5	5	5	-4	20
11	Annecy	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Angers	15	5	3	7	-2	18
13	Concarneau	16	5	3	8	-4	18
14	Quevilly Rouen	16	3	8	5	+0	17
15	Grenoble	16	4	5	7	-3	17
16	Bordeaux	16	4	4	8	-10	16
17	Bastia	15	3	4	8	-5	13
18	Troyes	16	1	9	6	-10	12
19	Ajaccio	16	2	4	10	-16	10
20	Valenciennes	16	1	5	10	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.