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Serie B

Referee: Matteo Marcenaro

Spezia

U T U T U

1–2

Full-time

Palermo

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 19. · Palermo 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Frosinone	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Venezia	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Palermo	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	Avellino	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Cesena	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Monza	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Juve Stabia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
9	Sudtirol	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Padova	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Carrarese	6	1	4	1	+1	7
12	Reggiana	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-1	6
14	Virtus Entella	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Bari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Pescara	6	1	2	3	+0	5
18	Mantova	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Spezia	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Monza	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Palermo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Avellino	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Empoli	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Pescara	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Reggiana	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Padova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-5	3
17	Cesena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Carrarese	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Avellino	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Padova	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Sudtirol	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Venezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Monza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Reggiana	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Virtus Entella	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.