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Premier League
Referee: J Brooks
Arsenal
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
West Ham
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,77 xG 0,49
68% Possession 32%
21 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 4. · West Ham 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 6 5 0 1 +5 +2.2 15
2 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 +8 -1.3 14
3 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 +3 +2.1 14
4 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 +9 +5.6 13
5 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 0 +5 +4.6 12
6 Sunderland 6 3 2 1 +3 -0.9 11
7 Man City 6 3 1 2 +8 +4.6 10
8 Chelsea 6 2 2 2 +3 +2.2 8
9 Everton 6 2 2 2 +1 -0.5 8
10 Brighton 6 2 2 2 +0 +1.7 8
11 Fulham 7 2 2 3 -3 -1.9 8
12 Leeds 7 2 2 3 -4 -0.3 8
13 Brentford 6 2 1 3 -2 -1.0 7
14 Man United 6 2 1 3 -4 +2.9 7
15 Newcastle 6 1 3 2 -1 +0.6 6
16 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 -2 -4.4 6
17 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 -5 -2.9 5
18 Burnley 6 1 1 4 -7 -8.0 4
19 West Ham 6 1 1 4 -8 -2.4 4
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 -9 -3.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal West Ham
M. Zubimendi 🔁
↦ M. Odegaard
30′
1–0 D. Rice
38′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Crysencio Summerville
61′
🔁 C. Marshall
↦ N. Fullkrug
61′
🔁 F. Potts
↦ S. Magassa
2–0 B. Saka
67′
69′
🟨 Lucas Paquetá
E. Nwaneri 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
75′
M. Lewis-Skelly 🔁
↦ R. Calafiori
75′
G. Martinelli 🔁
↦ E. Eze
79′
M. Merino 🔁
↦ D. Rice
79′
79′
🔁 K. Walker-Peters
↦ A. Wan-Bissaka
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 D. Raya G
12 J. Timber D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel D
33 R. Calafiori D
8 M. Odegaard M
41 D. Rice M
10 E. Eze M
7 B. Saka F
14 V. Gyökeres F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (9)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
4 B. White
11 G. Martinelli
36 M. Zubimendi
22 E. Nwaneri
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
3 C. Mosquera
16 C. Norgaard
23 M. Merino

Coach: Mikel Arteta

West Ham

4-1-4-1
23 A. Areola G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
15 K. Mavropanos D
3 M. Kilman D
12 M. Diouf D
27 S. Magassa M
20 J. Bowen M
10 Lucas Paqueta M
18 M. Fernandes M
7 C. Summerville M
11 N. Fullkrug F
Bench (9)
1 M. Hermansen
2 K. Walker-Peters
5 Igor
50 C. Marshall
17 Luis Guilherme
9 C. Wilson
24 G. Rodriguez
32 F. Potts
30 O. Scarles

Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
6,83
B
15,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.