Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Arsenal
West Ham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | +2.2 | 15 |
| 2 |
Tottenham
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | -1.3 | 14 |
| 3 |
Bournemouth
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | +2.1 | 14 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | +5.6 | 13 |
| 5 |
Crystal Palace
|
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | +4.6 | 12 |
| 6 |
Sunderland
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | -0.9 | 11 |
| 7 |
Man City
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +8 | +4.6 | 10 |
| 8 |
Chelsea
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | +2.2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Everton
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | -0.5 | 8 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +0 | +1.7 | 8 |
| 11 |
Fulham
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -1.9 | 8 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -0.3 | 8 |
| 13 |
Brentford
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -1.0 | 7 |
| 14 |
Man United
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | +2.9 | 7 |
| 15 |
Newcastle
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +0.6 | 6 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -4.4 | 6 |
| 17 |
Nott'm Forest
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | -2.9 | 5 |
| 18 |
Burnley
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | -8.0 | 4 |
| 19 |
West Ham
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | -2.4 | 4 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | -3.0 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Raya
G
J. Timber
D
Gabriel
D
R. Calafiori
D
M. Odegaard
M
D. Rice
M
E. Eze
M
B. Saka
F
V. Gyökeres
F
L. Trossard
F
Coach: Mikel Arteta
A. Areola
G
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
K. Mavropanos
D
M. Kilman
D
M. Diouf
D
S. Magassa
M
J. Bowen
M
M. Fernandes
M
N. Fullkrug
F
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Arsenal
Olympiakos
Newcastle
Arsenal
Port Vale
Arsenal
Arsenal
Man City
Ath Bilbao
Arsenal
J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.