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Serie B
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Cesena
U S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Reggiana
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cesena 6. · Reggiana 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palermo 7 4 3 0 +6 15
2 Modena 6 4 2 0 +8 14
3 Frosinone 7 4 2 1 +6 14
4 Venezia 7 3 3 1 +5 12
5 Avellino 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Cesena 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Monza 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Juve Stabia 6 2 4 0 +3 10
9 Sudtirol 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Padova 7 2 2 3 -2 8
11 Carrarese 6 1 4 1 +1 7
12 Reggiana 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Catanzaro 7 0 6 1 -1 6
14 Virtus Entella 6 1 3 2 -2 6
15 Empoli 6 1 3 2 -4 6
16 Bari 7 1 3 3 -5 6
17 Pescara 6 1 2 3 +0 5
18 Mantova 7 1 1 5 -8 4
19 Spezia 7 0 3 4 -7 3
20 Sampdoria 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cesena Reggiana
13′
🟨 Simone Bonetti
1–0 R. Ciervo
T. Berti
15′
19′
E. Tavsan 1–1
M. Marras
24′
M. Portanova 1–2
N. Girma
Half-time 1–2
46′
🟨 Edoardo Motta
R. Celia 🔁
↦ E. Adamo
46′
46′
🔁 G. Magnani
↦ S. Bonetti
50′
🟨 Tobías Reinhart
Riccardo Ciervo 🟨
53′
S. Bastoni 🔁
↦ M. Francesconi
54′
M. Olivieri 🔁
↦ C. Shpendi
61′
64′
🔁 M. Bertagnoli
↦ E. Tavsan
Tommaso Berti 🟨
70′
V. Magni 🔁
↦ R. Ciervo
74′
S. Balde 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
74′
74′
🔁 A. Novakovich
↦ N. Girma
81′
🔁 A. Tripaldelli
↦ M. Marras
81′
🔁 L. Mendicino
↦ T. Reinhart
Simone Bastoni 🟥
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cesena

3-5-2
33 J. Klinsmann G
15 A. Ciofi D
19 G. Zaro D
24 M. Mangraviti D
11 R. Ciervo M
70 M. Francesconi M
4 M. Castagnetti M
14 T. Berti M
17 E. Adamo M
7 J. Blesa F
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (12)
40 L. Ferretti
1 A. Siano
16 P. Amoran
13 R. Celia
99 G. Frabotta
23 V. Magni
26 M. Piacentini
6 T. Arrigoni
10 S. Bastoni
18 M. Guidi
29 S. Balde
32 M. Olivieri

Coach: Michele Mignani

Reggiana

3-4-2-1
1 E. Motta G
17 L. Libutti D
2 A. Papetti D
43 S. Bonetti D
7 M. Marras M
16 T. Reinhart M
8 Charlys M
3 A. Bozzolan M
80 N. Girma F
90 M. Portanova F
10 E. Tavsan F
Bench (12)
21 G. Saro
12 A. Seculin
96 G. Magnani
33 A. Tripaldelli
19 D. Basili
26 M. Bertagnoli
44 L. Mendicino
6 F. Vallarelli
91 O. Conte
93 M. Lambourde
9 A. Novakovich
23 M. Rover

Coach: Davide Dionigi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U
3,60
B ✓
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.