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Eredivisie
Referee: R Hensgens
Excelsior
U S T S U
2–2
Full-time
For Sittard
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,5
1,5
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,71 xG 1,24
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 6. · For Sittard 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +6 +2.1 6
2 Twente 2 2 0 0 +5 +1.0 6
3 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.2 6
4 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 -1.3 6
5 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +3 +4.3 4
6 Excelsior 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.2 4
7 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.1 4
8 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.3 4
9 Nijmegen 3 1 0 2 +1 +0.4 3
10 Go Ahead Eagles 2 1 0 1 -1 -3.5 3
11 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.4 3
12 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 -2.7 3
13 Feyenoord 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.5 2
14 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.0 0
15 Almere City 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.6 0
16 Volendam 2 0 0 2 -4 +0.2 0
17 Utrecht 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.6 0
18 Waalwijk 3 0 0 3 -7 +0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior For Sittard
26′
🟨 Mitchell Dijks
1–0 N. Agrafiotis
30′
Half-time 1–0
S. Nieuwpoort 🔁
↦ S. Seymor
54′
54′
🔁 M. Belkheir
↦ O. Özyakup
64′
🟨 Rodrigo Guth
68′
Deroy Duarte 1–1
70′
🔁 R. Vita
↦ M. Dijks
R. Omorowa 🔁
↦ N. Agrafiotis
71′
C. Sandra 🔁
↦ N. Naujoks
71′
O. Uddenäs 🔁
↦ L. Lamprou
71′
2–1 O. Uddenäs
R. Omorowa
73′
Julian Baas 🟨
76′
78′
M. Belkheir 2–2
T. Parrott 🔁
↦ D. Sanches Fernandes
86′
88′
🔁 K. Sierhuis
↦ A. Halilović
88′
🔁 A. Ferati
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel G
2 S. Horemans D
5 C. Widell D
34 S. Seymor D
12 A. Zagré D
15 N. Naujoks M
4 R. El Yaakoubi M
33 J. Baas M
30 D. Sanches Fernandes F
19 N. Agrafiotis F
7 L. Lamprou F
Bench (9)
16 S. Nieuwpoort
17 R. Omorowa
8 C. Sandra
11 O. Uddenäs
9 T. Parrott
22 M. Benita
18 N. Alblas
38 P. Kuiper
28 I. Smeulers

Coach: M. Dijkhuizen

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pandur G
12 Ivo Pinto D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
33 D. Siovas D
35 M. Dijks D
32 L. Rosier M
6 Deroy Duarte M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 A. Halilović M
15 O. Özyakup M
77 T. Noslin F
Bench (10)
20 M. Belkheir
61 R. Vita
9 K. Sierhuis
19 A. Ferati
1 L. Koopmans
24 N. Markelo
22 T. Hendriks
3 S. Fofana
39 M. Robberechts
55 S. Radić

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,64
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hensgens · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.