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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Bochum
S U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Dortmund
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,7
Scored
1,5
3,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
5,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 1,33
34% Possession 66%
17 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
6 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 18. · Dortmund 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.3 3
2 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.8 3
3 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +3 -0.4 3
4 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.0 3
5 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 +1 +1.7 3
6 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.2 3
7 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.1 3
8 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
9 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
10 Augsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.6 1
11 M'gladbach 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.6 1
12 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.1 0
13 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
14 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.0 0
15 Heidenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.0 0
16 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 +0.4 0
17 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.3 0
18 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -5 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Dortmund
1–0 K. Stöger
M. Wittek
13′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Süle
↦ M. Hummels
Danilo Soares 🔁
↦ M. Wittek
48′
56′
D. Malen 1–1
J. Brandt
M. Broschinski 🔁
↦ P. Hofmann
59′
C. Antwi-Adjei 🔁
↦ T. Asano
59′
62′
🔁 K. Adeyemi
↦ M. Sabitzer
Kevin Stöger 🟨
66′
Matúš Bero 🟨
71′
75′
🟨 Emre Can
P. Osterhage 🔁
↦ K. Stöger
81′
C. Gamboa 🔁
↦ F. Passlack
81′
81′
🔁 J. Bynoe-Gittens
↦ D. Malen
81′
🔁 Y. Moukoko
↦ S. Haller
81′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ F. Nmecha
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bochum

3-5-2
1 M. Riemann G
4 E. Mašović D
20 I. Ordets D
5 Bernardo D
15 F. Passlack M
7 K. Stöger M
8 A. Losilla M
19 M. Bero M
32 M. Wittek M
33 P. Hofmann F
11 T. Asano F
Bench (9)
3 Danilo Soares
29 M. Broschinski
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
6 P. Osterhage
2 C. Gamboa
13 L. Daschner
41 N. Loosli
31 K. Schlotterbeck
23 N. Thiede

Coach: T. Letsch

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
17 M. Wolf D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
5 R. Bensebaïni D
20 M. Sabitzer M
23 E. Can M
21 D. Malen M
8 F. Nmecha M
19 J. Brandt M
9 S. Haller F
Bench (9)
25 N. Süle
27 K. Adeyemi
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
18 Y. Moukoko
6 S. Özcan
2 Mateu Morey
33 A. Meyer
11 M. Reus
10 T. Hazard

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,72
U ✓
5,29
B
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,36
U2,5 ✓
3,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.