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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

M'gladbach

T U S S U

0–3

Full-time

Leverkusen

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,7

Scored

3,2

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

8,0

5,0

Scored

4,0

3,0

Conceded

4,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,25 xG 2,73

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 24

2 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 7

8 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 12. · Leverkusen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Union Berlin	2	2	0	0	+6	-0.9	6
2	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.7	6
3	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.5	6
4	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
6	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.8	3
7	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.7	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
10	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
12	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Bochum	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.6	1
14	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.5	0
15	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
16	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.4	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.4	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.3	3
2	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.6	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.4	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
9	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
14	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.5	0
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.5	3
3	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
7	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
10	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
11	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
12	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
13	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.4	0
14	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.6	0
15	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.