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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

Nijmegen

T T U T T

3–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-2,0

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,08 xG 1,26

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 13. · Waalwijk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	-1.3	6
5	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.3	4
6	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
8	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.5	3
10	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
11	Heracles	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.7	3
12	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
13	Nijmegen	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.5	0
14	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.0	0
15	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.4	0
16	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
17	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.9	3
4	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
7	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
8	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
9	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
11	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
12	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
18	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
10	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
12	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
17	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.9	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.