Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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OFI Crete
Volos NFC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK
|
34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | +44 | 76 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | +49 | 74 |
| 3 |
Olympiakos
|
33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | +45 | 72 |
| 4 |
PAOK
|
33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | +45 | 68 |
| 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 6 |
Aris
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 7 |
Lamia
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -24 | 38 |
| 8 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | -14 | 37 |
| 9 |
Atromitos
|
32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | -14 | 37 |
| 10 |
OFI Crete
|
32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | -14 | 34 |
| 11 |
Panserraikos
|
32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -19 | 33 |
| 12 |
Volos NFC
|
32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -23 | 30 |
| 13 |
Panetolikos
|
32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -24 | 27 |
| 14 |
Kifisia
|
32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -32 | 24 |
| 15 |
Giannina
|
32 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -31 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Panserraikos
OFI Crete
OFI Crete
Giannina
OFI Crete
Atromitos
Kifisia
OFI Crete
OFI Crete
Panathinaikos
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.