Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolfsburg
Bochum
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leverkusen
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | +55 | +37.7 | 79 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | +46 | +51.9 | 63 |
| 3 |
Stuttgart
|
29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | +33 | +31.0 | 63 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | +34 | +25.3 | 56 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | +23 | +11.2 | 56 |
| 6 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +6 | -3.1 | 45 |
| 7 |
Augsburg
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | -5.7 | 39 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -11 | -2.5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Hoffenheim
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -8 | -10.2 | 36 |
| 10 |
Heidenheim
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -8 | -21.1 | 34 |
| 11 |
M'gladbach
|
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -6 | -5.2 | 31 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -13 | -11.1 | 31 |
| 13 |
Union Berlin
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -20 | -10.4 | 29 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -16 | -3.2 | 28 |
| 15 |
Bochum
|
29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -25 | -18.7 | 27 |
| 16 |
Mainz
|
29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -17 | -1.4 | 26 |
| 17 |
FC Koln
|
29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -28 | -29.5 | 22 |
| 18 |
Darmstadt
|
29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | -44 | -35.0 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Pervan
G
M. Lacroix
D
S. Bornauw
D
C. Zesiger
D
K. Fischer
M
M. Arnold
M
Y. Gerhardt
M
R. Baku
F
J. Wind
F
Tiago Tomás
F
Coach: R. Hasenhüttl
F. Passlack
D
K. Schlotterbeck
D
Bernardo
D
P. Osterhage
M
K. Stöger
M
P. Hofmann
F
Coach: H. Butscher
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
M'gladbach
Werder Bremen
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Augsburg
Leverkusen
Wolfsburg
T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.