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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muniz Munoz
Las Palmas
S T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Almeria
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
6 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 7. · Almeria 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 7 4 3 0 +11 15
2 Andorra 7 4 2 1 +4 14
3 Cadiz 6 4 2 0 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +4 11
6 Valladolid 6 3 2 1 +4 +2.3 11
7 Las Palmas 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Huesca 6 3 1 2 -2 10
9 Burgos 6 2 3 1 +4 +3.1 9
10 Sp Gijon 6 3 0 3 +0 9
11 Malaga 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Almeria 6 2 2 2 -1 8
13 Leganes 6 1 4 1 +1 7
14 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 Ceuta 6 2 1 3 -5 -2.3 7
16 Zaragoza 7 1 3 3 -3 6
17 Castellon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
18 Sociedad B 6 1 2 3 -2 5
19 Albacete 6 1 2 3 -3 5
20 Cordoba 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Cultural Leonesa 6 1 1 4 -6 -3.1 4
22 Granada 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Almeria
22′
🟨 Gui
37′
S. Arribas 0–1
A. Munoz
45′
🟨 Adrián Embarba
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Nélson Monte
46′
🔁 I. Baba
↦ Gui Guedes
Miloš Luković ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
57′
Miloš Luković 🟥
58′
65′
🟨 Adrián Embarba
65′
🟥 Adrián Embarba
I. Gil 🔁
↦ E. Loiodice
67′
69′
🔁 S. Clua
↦ S. Arribas
69′
🔁 Leo Baptistao
↦ S. Dzodic
70′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ P. Soko
Marvin Park 🟨
74′
Jese 🔁
↦ J. Viera
78′
E. Cedeno 🔁
↦ C. Gutierrez
83′
Viti 🔁
↦ L. Amatucci
83′
Pejino 🔁
↦ M. Fuster
83′
89′
🔁 A. Centelles
↦ N. Melamed
Viti Rozada 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-4-2
1 D. Horkas G
2 Marvin D
4 Alex Suarez D
6 Sergio Barcia D
23 C. Gutierrez D
14 M. Fuster M
12 E. Loiodice M
16 L. Amatucci M
22 A. Garcia M
25 M. Lukovic F
21 J. Viera F
Bench (12)
13 J. Caro
35 A. Suarez
15 J. Herzog
27 V. Pezzolesi
18 E. Cedeno
8 I. Gil
26 I. Gonzalez
9 J. Recoba
17 Viti
24 Pejino
7 J. Mata
10 Jese

Coach: Luis García Fernández

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
29 S. Dzodic M
8 Gui Guedes M
23 A. Embarba M
11 S. Arribas M
10 N. Melamed M
19 P. Soko F
Bench (12)
13 F. Martinez
21 Chumi
20 A. Centelles
15 A. Hernandez
16 M. Luna
14 I. Baba
5 S. Clua
6 A. Horta
36 M. Perovic
2 A. Puigmal
12 Leo Baptistao
9 Thalys

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U
3,28
B ✓
3,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Muniz Munoz · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.