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Eredivisie
Referee: Robin Hensgens
Volendam
U U U T T
2–1
Full-time
Zwolle
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,96 xG 1,03
37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 16. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Feyenoord 6 5 1 0 +10 +7.9 16
2 Ajax 7 4 3 0 +7 +5.8 15
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 +9 +4.2 13
4 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 0 +5 +5.2 12
5 Groningen 6 4 0 2 +3 +0.2 12
6 Twente 7 3 1 3 +2 +6.7 10
7 For Sittard 7 3 1 3 +0 -5.3 10
8 Nijmegen 6 3 0 3 +7 +5.4 9
9 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 +6 +1.3 9
10 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 +2 -0.5 9
11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 0 3 -8 -4.7 9
12 Zwolle 6 2 1 3 -3 -4.1 7
13 NAC Breda 7 2 1 4 -5 -6.0 7
14 Excelsior 6 2 0 4 -8 -5.3 6
15 Heerenveen 6 1 2 3 -2 +6.2 5
16 Volendam 6 0 4 2 -4 -4.8 4
17 Telstar 6 1 1 4 -6 -1.2 4
18 Heracles 6 0 0 6 -15 -10.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Zwolle
1–0 H. Veerman
J. Ideho
27′
31′
🟨 Thijs Oosting
45′
K. de Rooij 1–1
K. Kostons
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. Voute
↦ O. Aertssen
G. Yah 🔁
↦ A. Plat
56′
2–1 B. Kuwas
R. van Cruijsen
56′
63′
🔁 T. Gooijer
↦ J. Faberski
63′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ S. Shoretire
65′
🟨 Tristan Gooijer
65′
ℹ️ Tristan Gooijer
VAR: Penalty cancelled
O. Kokcu 🔁
↦ J. Ideho
73′
A. Oehlers 🔁
↦ N. Bukala
73′
Robin van Cruijsen 🟨
78′
X. Mbuyamba 🔁
↦ R. van Cruijsen
82′
R. Muhren 🔁
↦ H. Veerman
82′
86′
🔁 J. Pereira da Gama
87′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ T. Oosting
Aurelio Oehlers 🟨
92′
94′
🟨 Jadiel Pereira da Gama
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Volendam

4-2-3-1
1 K. van Oevelen G
5 P. Ugwu D
3 M. Amevor D
20 N. Verschuren D
32 Y. Leliendal D
6 A. Plat M
18 N. Bukala M
10 B. Kuwas M
40 R. van Cruijsen
17 J. Ideho M
9 H. Veerman F
Bench (12)
16 R. Steur
22 D. Vlak
2 D. Payne
4 X. Mbuyamba
7 O. Kokcu
8 G. Yah
11 A. Oehlers
14 A. Meijers
19 M. Zijlstra
21 R. Muhren
24 K. Wong-A-Soij
33 K. Dyer

Coach: Rick Kruys

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
16 T. de Graaff G
3 O. Aertssen D
28 S. Graves D
4 A. Garcia MacNulty D
2 S. Floranus D
30 R. Thomas M
25 T. Oosting M
19 J. Faberski M
7 S. Shoretire M
22 K. de Rooij M
10 K. Kostons F
Bench (12)
1 J. Schendelaar
41 D. Verduin
6 T. Gooijer
11 D. Mbayo
20 G. Reiziger
21 S. Lagsir
26 J. Pereira da Gama
29 T. Buitink
34 N. Fichtinger
38 G. Renwarin
39 D. Voute
42 D. Ruward

Coach: Henry van der Vegt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,66
U
3,56
B
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.