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Pro League
Referee: Bert Verbeke
Waregem
T T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Antwerp
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,72 xG 0,59
43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 5. · Antwerp 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 6 4 2 0 +10 +9.2 14
2 Anderlecht 7 3 3 1 +6 +4.7 12
3 St Truiden 6 3 2 1 +2 +5.0 11
4 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +3 +2.7 10
5 Waregem 8 3 1 4 -2 -3.1 10
6 RAAL La Louviere 8 3 1 4 -2 -5.7 10
7 Gent 3 3 0 0 +5 +2.2 9
8 Mechelen 6 2 3 1 +1 +0.2 9
9 Cercle Brugge 7 2 2 3 +1 +0.9 8
10 Charleroi 5 2 1 2 +1 -0.7 7
11 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 -2 +0.4 7
12 Antwerp 4 1 2 1 +0 -4.0 5
13 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 -3.2 5
14 Genk 4 1 1 2 -1 +1.5 4
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 1 1 3 -7 -1.0 4
16 Dender 7 0 1 6 -11 -8.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Antwerp
18′
🟨 Yuto Tsunashima
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Erenbjerg
A. Ementa
56′
62′
🔁 F. Adekami
↦ I. Babadi
63′
🔁 Y. Hamdaoui
↦ M. Diawara
M. Ake 🔁
↦ S. Gavriel
71′
83′
🔁 K. Kouyate
↦ R. Bozhinov
83′
🔁 C. Scott
↦ M. Al Sahafi
2–0 M. Ake
J. Erenbjerg
84′
E. Soglo 🔁
↦ Y. Cappelle
90′
L. Willen 🔁
↦ J. Erenbjerg
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Waregem

4-2-3-1
13 B. Gabriel G
12 W. Paugain D
3 A. Tanghe D
5 J. Kiilerich D
55 Y. Cappelle D
21 T. Nnadi M
8 T. Claes M
11 S. Gavriel M
24 J. Erenbjerg M
22 J. Opoku M
18 A. Ementa F
Bench (9)
1 L. Bostyn
6 E. Lofolomo
9 J. Vossen
17 E. Soglo
19 B. Nyssen
20 T. Hedl
31 L. Willen
36 S. Ujka
39 M. Ake

Coach: Sven Ludwig Vandenbroeck

Antwerp

3-5-2
15 Y. Thoelen G
4 Y. Tsunashima D
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
26 R. Bozhinov D
24 T. Somers M
10 I. Babadi M
16 M. Benitez M
34 M. Diawara M
5 D. Foulon M
9 M. Al Sahafi F
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (9)
41 T. Nozawa
2 K. Corbanie
17 S. Renders
19 M. Urinboev
21 A. Verstraeten
22 F. Adekami
25 K. Kouyate
30 C. Scott
43 Y. Hamdaoui

Coach: Stef Wils

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
U
3,34
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bert Verbeke · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.