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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz
Cracovia
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 65%
63%
67%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 3. · Gornik Zabrze 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Korona Kielce 10 5 3 2 +7 -2.1 18
2 Gornik Zabrze 9 6 0 3 +7 -0.2 18
3 Cracovia 8 5 2 1 +7 +2.5 17
4 Wisla Plock 9 5 2 2 +5 +6.2 17
5 Jagiellonia 8 5 2 1 +4 -2.5 17
6 Lech Poznan 8 4 2 2 +1 +6.0 14
7 Legia 8 3 3 2 +5 +3.6 12
8 Radomiak Radom 9 3 2 4 -1 -0.1 11
9 Lechia Gdansk 10 3 2 5 -7 -2.9 11
10 Zaglebie 8 2 4 2 +3 -1.8 10
11 Widzew Lodz 9 3 1 5 +1 +2.2 10
12 Motor Lublin 8 2 4 2 -3 -1.0 10
13 Pogon Szczecin 9 3 1 5 -4 +2.0 10
14 Nieciecza 10 2 3 5 -4 -0.2 9
15 Arka Gdynia 9 2 3 4 -5 -3.8 9
16 Rakow 8 2 2 4 -4 -0.3 8
17 GKS Katowice 10 2 2 6 -10 -6.8 8
18 Piast Gliwice 8 1 4 3 -2 -0.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
Half-time 0–0
M. Aleksic 🔁
↦ M. Minchev
61′
Mateusz Klich 🟨
66′
72′
S. Liseth 0–1
K. Zahiroleslam 🔁
↦ G. Henriksson
77′
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ M. Maigaard
77′
80′
🟨 Erik Janža
81′
🔁 Goh Young-Jun
↦ L. Ambros
82′
🟨 Jarosław Kubicki
88′
🔁 N. Dziegielewski
↦ M. Kmet
1–1 K. Zahiroleslam
D. Kameri
89′
93′
🔁 M. Pingot
↦ P. Hellebrand
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
13 S. Madejski G
21 B. Sutalo D
4 G. Henriksson D
66 O. Wojcik D
25 O. Kakabadze M
43 M. Klich M
6 A. Al Ammari M
39 M. Perkovic M
11 M. Maigaard F
9 F. Stojilkovic F
17 M. Minchev F
Bench (11)
27 H. Ravas
7 M. Praszelik
8 M. Aleksic
10 M. Rakoczy
18 K. Zahiroleslam
19 D. Olafsson
20 K. Knap
22 B. Biedrzycki
61 B. Traore
70 D. Kameri
79 D. Pila

Coach: Luka Elsner

Gornik Zabrze

4-1-4-1
1 M. Lubik G
16 P. Olkowski D
5 K. Szczesniak D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janza D
8 P. Hellebrand M
81 M. Kmet M
18 L. Ambros M
14 J. Kubicki M
30 O. Sow M
23 S. Liseth F
Bench (11)
92 P. Pietryga
99 T. Loska
7 L. Zahovic
9 Gabriel Barbosa
17 K. Lukoszek
19 N. Dziegielewski
22 A. Abdullahi
28 B. Donio
33 M. Khlan
55 M. Pingot
79 Goh Young-Jun

Coach: Michal Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Patryk Gryckiewicz · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.