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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hamilton
U T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 8
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 8. · Hibernian 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 7 0 1 +21 21
2 Celtic 8 6 1 1 +15 19
3 Motherwell 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Aberdeen 8 3 3 2 +0 12
5 Ross County 8 3 3 2 -1 12
6 Livingston 8 3 2 3 +1 11
7 Kilmarnock 8 3 2 3 -1 11
8 Hamilton 8 2 2 4 -8 8
9 Hearts 8 1 3 4 -4 6
10 Hibernian 8 1 3 4 -10 6
11 St Mirren 8 1 2 5 -5 5
12 ST Johnstone 8 0 4 4 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton Hibernian
22′
S. Mallan 0–1
Alexander Gogic 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
R. Cunningham 🔁
↦ L. Smith
53′
59′
🟨 Chris Maxwell
1–1 R. Cunningham
59′
G. Oakley 🔁
↦ M. Miller
60′
72′
🔁 S. Allan
↦ D. Horgan
S. Davies 🔁
↦ M. Ogboe
76′
80′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ J. Newell
89′
🔁 F. Kamberi
↦ J. Vela
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-3-3
1 O. Williams G
24 B. Easton D
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
26 S. Stubbs D
10 B. Alston M
25 S. Martin M
15 R. Hughes M
28 L. Smith M
99 M. Ogboe F
11 M. Miller F
Bench (7)
14 R. Cunningham
9 G. Oakley
8 S. Davies
18 D. MacKinnon
20 D. Moyo
31 L. Southwood
40 J. Hamilton

Coach: B. Rice

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
28 C. Maxwell G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
17 T. James D
25 R. Porteous D
7 D. Horgan M
11 J. Newell M
6 J. Vela M
20 M. Hallberg D
14 S. Mallan M
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (7)
23 S. Allan
33 F. Murray
22 F. Kamberi
1 O. Marciano
19 G. Middleton
21 J. Naismith
18 A. Jackson

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,91
U ✓
3,47
B
1,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.