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Premier League
Referee: Peter Bankes
Wolves
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Southampton
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
4 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 11. · Southampton 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 8 8 0 0 +14 24
2 Man City 8 5 1 2 +18 16
3 Arsenal 8 4 3 1 +2 15
4 Leicester 8 4 2 2 +7 14
5 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 +4 14
6 Crystal Palace 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Burnley 8 3 3 2 +2 12
8 West Ham 9 3 3 3 -2 12
9 Tottenham 8 3 2 3 +2 11
10 Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Wolves 8 2 4 2 +0 10
12 Everton 9 3 1 5 -5 10
13 Man United 8 2 3 3 +1 9
14 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Brighton 8 2 3 3 -2 9
16 Aston Villa 8 2 2 4 +1 8
17 Newcastle 8 2 2 4 -8 8
18 Southampton 8 2 1 5 -7 7
19 Norwich 8 2 0 6 -11 6
20 Watford 8 0 3 5 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Southampton
10′
🟨 Yan Valery
Vallejo 🔁
↦ R. Bennett
18′
Raúl Jiménez 🟨
29′
Conor Coady 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
M. Doherty 🔁
↦ Rúben Neves
46′
53′
D. Ings 0–1
1–1 R. Jiménez
61′
Diogo Jota 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
62′
Jesús Vallejo 🟨
68′
76′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ Y. Valery
82′
🔁 K. Danso
↦ Oriol Romeu
90′
🟨 Ryan Bertrand
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolves

3-5-2
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
32 L. Dendoncker M
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré M
10 P. Cutrone F
Bench (7)
4 Vallejo
2 M. Doherty
18 Diogo Jota
29 Rúben Vinagre
49 M. Kilman
21 J. Ruddy
17 M. Gibbs-White

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Southampton

3-4-2-1
28 A. Gunn G
3 M. Yoshida D
21 R. Bertrand M
4 J. Vestergaard D
35 J. Bednarek D
43 Y. Valery M
14 Oriol Romeu M
22 N. Redmond F
23 P. Højbjerg M
16 J. Ward-Prowse F
9 D. Ings F
Bench (7)
19 S. Boufal
38 K. Danso
5 J. Stephens
1 A. McCarthy
17 S. Armstrong
7 S. Long
10 C. Adams

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U ✓
3,58
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.