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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Kilmarnock
T T T T T
3–1
Full-time
Ross County
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,7
This season — Premiership · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
26%
22%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
48%
74%
Both score Ø 44%
35%
52%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 7. · Ross County 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 20 1 2 +50 61
2 Rangers 22 18 2 2 +44 56
3 Motherwell 23 13 2 8 +7 41
4 Aberdeen 23 10 7 6 +3 37
5 Livingston 23 8 7 8 +4 31
6 Hibernian 23 7 8 8 -6 29
7 Kilmarnock 23 6 5 12 -10 23
8 ST Johnstone 22 5 8 9 -21 23
9 Ross County 23 5 7 11 -25 22
10 St Mirren 23 5 5 13 -13 20
11 Hamilton 23 4 6 13 -17 18
12 Hearts 23 3 8 12 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Ross County
25′
⚽ I. Vigurs 0–1
31′
🟨 Richard Foster
44′
🟨 Don Cowie
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Brophy ⚽
A. Power
54′
2–1 E. Brophy ⚽
57′
Alan Power 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 B. Spittal
↦ D. Cowie
72′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ O. Shaw
73′
🔁 H. Paton
↦ J. Tillson
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
79′
3–1 N. Kabamba ⚽
C. Burke
82′
H. Bunn 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
85′
K. Broadfoot 🔁
↦ C. Burke
88′
89′
🟨 Iain Vigurs
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
12 L. Brănescu G
2 S. O'Donnell D
17 S. Findlay D
26 D. Del Fabro D
14 N. Hamalainen D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie F
9 E. Brophy F
27 N. Kabamba F
Bench (7)
10 G. Kiltie
11 H. Bunn
19 K. Broadfoot
24 J. Koprivec
15 M. El Makrini
25 H. St Clair
22 R. Millen

Coach: A. Dyer

Ross County

4-3-3
21 N. Baxter G
18 R. Foster D
15 K. Watson D
2 M. Fraser D
25 C. Donaldson D
26 D. Cowie M
11 I. Vigurs M
14 J. Mullin M
22 J. Tillson M
8 L. Erwin F
19 O. Shaw F
Bench (7)
20 B. Spittal
9 B. McKay
24 H. Paton
3 S. Kelly
1 R. Laidlaw
4 L. Fontaine
16 L. Spence

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,45
B
4,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.