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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Dortmund
S S T S T
3–0
Full-time
M'gladbach
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dortmund M'gladbach
Manuel Akanji 🟨
13′
F. Passlack 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
19′
1–0 G. Reyna
J. Bellingham
35′
39′
🟨 Lars Stindl
Half-time 1–0
Giovanni Reyna ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
52′
2–0 E. Håland
54′
57′
🔁 M. Thuram
↦ H. Wolf
57′
🔁 A. Plea
↦ L. Stindl
T. Delaney 🔁
↦ J. Bellingham
67′
69′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ O. Wendt
3–0 E. Håland
J. Sancho
77′
M. Reus 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
78′
J. Brandt 🔁
↦ G. Reyna
78′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

3-4-1-2
1 R. Bürki G
15 M. Hummels D
16 M. Akanji D
28 A. Witsel M
24 T. Meunier M
10 T. Hazard M
23 E. Can D
7 J. Sancho F
32 G. Reyna F
22 J. Bellingham M
9 E. Håland F
Bench (8)
30 F. Passlack
6 T. Delaney
11 M. Reus
19 J. Brandt
20 Reinier
35 M. Hitz
27 M. Wolf
8 M. Dahoud

Coach: L. Favre

M'gladbach

3-4-3
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt M
18 S. Lainer M
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
13 L. Stindl F
6 C. Kramer M
23 J. Hofmann F
32 F. Neuhaus M
11 H. Wolf F
Bench (9)
10 M. Thuram
14 A. Plea
7 P. Herrmann
26 T. Müsel
43 R. Reitz
24 T. Jantschke
21 T. Sippel
16 I. Traoré
3 M. Lang

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
U
4,36
B
4,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.