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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Swansea
S S S T S
0–0
Full-time
Birmingham
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
8 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 9. · Birmingham 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 QPR 2 1 0 1 +1 3
4 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Luton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Nott'm Forest 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Birmingham
11′
🟨 Harlee Dean
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 G. Gardner
↦ Jon Toral
L. Cullen 🔁
↦ J. Lowe
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-1-2
1 F. Woodman G
24 J. Bidwell M
23 C. Roberts M
5 M. Guehi D
4 J. Rodon D
44 B. Cabango D
7 K. Smith M
8 M. Grimes M
11 M. Gibbs-White F
10 A. Ayew F
9 J. Lowe F
Bench (7)
20 L. Cullen
26 K. Naughton
13 S. Benda
17 K. Peterson
21 Y. Dhanda
6 J. Fulton
15 W. Routledge

Coach: S. Cooper

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
30 N. Etheridge G
5 G. Friend D
12 H. Dean D
2 M. Colin D
3 K. Pedersen D
8 A. Clayton M
17 Iván Sánchez M
11 Jérémie Bela M
23 Jon Toral M
34 I. Šunjić M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
20 G. Gardner
38 Z. Jeacock
4 M. Roberts
9 S. Hogan
7 D. Crowley
21 Agus Medina
42 S. Seddon

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U ✓
3,17
B
3,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.