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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Rennes
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Monaco
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 10
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 3. · Monaco 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Lens 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 Rennes 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Monaco 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Montpellier 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Nice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Marseille 3 2 0 1 +0 6
9 Angers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Lyon 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Nimes 4 1 1 2 +1 4
13 Nantes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Paris SG 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Brest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Reims 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Metz 3 0 0 3 -3 0
19 Dijon 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Monaco
28′
W. Ben Yedder 0–1
A. Truffert 🔁
↦ F. Maouassa
41′
Half-time 0–1
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ Raphinha
58′
68′
🟨 Axel Disasi
72′
🔁 W. Geubbels
↦ Fàbregas
76′
🟨 Willem Geubbels
F. Tait 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
80′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
80′
1–1 S. Nzonzi
A. Truffert
81′
82′
🔁 H. Onyekuru
↦ W. Ben Yedder
83′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ K. Volland
Martin Terrier 🟨
90′
2–1 A. Truffert
M. Terrier
91′
93′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ A. Tchouaméni
93′
🔁 G. Maripán
↦ S. Diop
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-1-4-1
1 R. Salin G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
15 S. Nzonzi M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
17 F. Maouassa D
21 M. Terrier M
10 E. Camavinga M
18 S. Guirassy F
7 Raphinha M
Bench (9)
31 A. Truffert
22 R. Del Castillo
20 F. Tait
28 J. Martin
23 A. Hunou
30 P. Bonet
34 B. Soppy
26 J. Gelin
33 G. Rutter

Coach: J. Stéphan

Monaco

4-3-3
40 B. Lecomte G
29 D. Sidibé D
26 R. Aguilar D
20 A. Disasi D
32 B. Badiashile D
4 Fàbregas M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
31 K. Volland F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
37 S. Diop F
Bench (9)
13 W. Geubbels
7 H. Onyekuru
11 Gelson Martins
10 S. Jovetić
3 G. Maripán
36 E. Matazo
1 R. Majecki
2 F. Ballo
38 E. Millot

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
U
3,37
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.