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Premier League
Referee: M Atkinson
Man United
S U S U S
1–3
Full-time
Crystal Palace
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

75% Possession 25%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Everton 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Leeds 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Fulham 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 West Brom 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Jul -20 Crystal Palace – Man United 0–2 24. Aug -19 Man United – Crystal Palace 1–2 27. Feb -19 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–3 24. Nov -18 Man United – Crystal Palace 0–0 5. Mar -18 Crystal Palace – Man United 2–3

Match report

Man United Crystal Palace
7′
⚽ A. Townsend 0–1
J. Schlupp
Paul Pogba ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
40′
Half-time 0–1
M. Greenwood 🔁
↦ D. James
46′
55′
🟨 Joel Ward
Timothy Fosu-Mensah 🟨
58′
Harry Maguire 🟨
64′
D. van de Beek 🔁
↦ P. Pogba
67′
70′
ℹ️ Jordan Ayew
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
ℹ️ Jordan Ayew
VAR: Goal cancelled
74′
⚽ W. Zaha 0–2
75′
🔁 E. Eze
↦ J. Schlupp
1–2 D. van de Beek ⚽
80′
O. Ighalo 🔁
↦ T. Fosu-Mensah
81′
81′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ J. Ayew
85′
⚽ W. Zaha 1–3
88′
🔁 L. Milivojević
↦ J. McCarthy
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
2 V. Lindelöf D
5 H. Maguire D
23 L. Shaw D
24 T. Fosu-Mensah D
6 P. Pogba M
18 Bruno Fernandes M
21 D. James M
39 S. McTominay M
9 A. Martial F
10 M. Rashford M
Bench (7)
11 M. Greenwood
34 D. van de Beek
25 O. Ighalo
17 Fred
26 D. Henderson
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
3 E. Bailly

Coach: O. Solskjær

Crystal Palace

4-4-2
31 Guaita G
12 M. Sakho D
2 J. Ward D
15 J. Schlupp M
27 T. Mitchell D
18 J. McArthur M
22 J. McCarthy M
8 C. Kouyaté D
10 A. Townsend M
9 J. Ayew F
11 W. Zaha F
Bench (7)
25 E. Eze
23 M. Batshuayi
4 L. Milivojević
34 M. Kelly
7 M. Meyer
13 W. Hennessey
45 R. Inniss

Coach: R. Hodgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,32
🔒
U
5,57
🔒
B ✓
9,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
U2,5
2,24
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.