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Premiership

Referee: W Collum

Celtic

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Aberdeen

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,0

Scored

2,2

0,2

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 53%

63%

43%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

57%

33%

Both score Ø 37%

43%

30%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Aberdeen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	30	26	4	0	+64	82
2	Celtic	30	19	7	4	+41	64
3	Hibernian	29	15	7	7	+15	52
4	Aberdeen	30	13	9	8	+3	48
5	Livingston	29	11	7	11	+1	40
6	St Mirren	30	9	9	12	-6	36
7	Dundee United	30	8	10	12	-15	34
8	ST Johnstone	30	8	9	13	-8	33
9	Motherwell	30	7	8	15	-20	29
10	Ross County	29	7	5	17	-31	26
11	Kilmarnock	30	7	3	20	-16	24
12	Hamilton	29	6	6	17	-28	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	15	0	0	+42	45
2	Celtic	15	10	3	2	+19	33
3	Aberdeen	16	9	3	4	+6	30
4	Hibernian	15	6	5	4	+2	23
5	Dundee United	15	5	4	6	-2	19
6	Livingston	14	5	3	6	-1	18
7	St Mirren	16	3	7	6	-8	16
8	Kilmarnock	14	4	2	8	-3	14
9	ST Johnstone	14	3	4	7	-7	13
10	Ross County	15	3	4	8	-15	13
11	Motherwell	15	3	3	9	-15	12
12	Hamilton	14	2	4	8	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	11	4	0	+22	37
2	Celtic	15	9	4	2	+22	31
3	Hibernian	14	9	2	3	+13	29
4	Livingston	15	6	4	5	+2	22
5	St Mirren	14	6	2	6	+2	20
6	ST Johnstone	16	5	5	6	-1	20
7	Aberdeen	14	4	6	4	-3	18
8	Motherwell	15	4	5	6	-5	17
9	Dundee United	15	3	6	6	-13	15
10	Hamilton	15	4	2	9	-16	14
11	Ross County	14	4	1	9	-16	13
12	Kilmarnock	16	3	1	12	-13	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.