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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Motherwell
S S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Celtic
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
10 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 5 1 0 +11 16
2 St Mirren 6 4 2 0 +4 14
3 Rangers 6 4 0 2 +7 12
4 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +1 10
5 Hibernian 6 2 1 3 +1 7
6 Hearts 6 2 1 3 +1 7
7 Ross County 6 2 1 3 -5 7
8 Kilmarnock 6 1 3 2 -1 6
9 Dundee 6 1 3 2 -3 6
10 Livingston 6 1 3 2 -6 6
11 Aberdeen 6 1 2 3 -2 5
12 ST Johnstone 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Celtic
Callum Slattery 🟨
10′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
Stephen O'Donnell 🟨
54′
62′
🔁 N. Phillips
↦ G. Lagerbielke
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ T. Bair
70′
P. Souaré 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
70′
76′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
76′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ R. Hatate
77′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ D. Maeda
84′
🟨 Nathaniel Phillips
87′
L. Palma 0–1
C. McGregor
D. Zdravkovski 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
89′
C. Wilkinson 🔁
↦ L. Miller
89′
Brodie Spencer 🟨
90′
1–1 B. Spittal
D. Casey
95′
97′
M. O'Riley 1–2
G. Taylor
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-3
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
5 B. Mugabi D
15 D. Casey D
2 S. O'Donnell M
38 L. Miller M
12 H. Paton M
22 B. Spencer M
8 C. Slattery F
14 T. Bair F
7 B. Spittal F
Bench (9)
18 O. Shaw
77 P. Souaré
17 D. Zdravkovski
99 C. Wilkinson
3 G. Gent
42 M. Ross
13 A. Oxborough
39 L. Ross
20 S. Blaney

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Celtic

4-3-3
29 S. Bain G
2 A. Johnston D
4 G. Lagerbielke D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
6 N. Phillips
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
14 D. Turnbull
7 L. Palma
56 A. Ralston
15 O. Holm
24 T. Iwata
31 B. Siegrist

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,69
U
5,54
B ✓
1,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.