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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hearts
S T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 8. · Aberdeen 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Motherwell 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Rangers 5 3 0 2 +6 9
4 St Mirren 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -1 7
6 Livingston 5 1 3 1 -3 6
7 Dundee 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Hearts 4 1 1 2 +0 4
9 Kilmarnock 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Hibernian 4 1 0 3 -1 3
11 Aberdeen 4 0 2 2 -4 2
12 ST Johnstone 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. May -23 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–1 18. Mar -23 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 18. Jan -23 Hearts – Aberdeen 5–0 16. Oct -22 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–0 2. Mar -22 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–0

Match report

Hearts Aberdeen
Peter Haring 🟨
11′
1–0 Y. Oda ⚽
L. Boyce
14′
25′
🟨 Leighton Clarkson
Frankie Kent 🟨
30′
Liam Boyce 🟨
32′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
34′
Half-time 1–0
C. Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ P. Haring
50′
Nathaniel Atkinson 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 R. Duncan
↦ J. McGarry
61′
🟨 Slobodan Rubežić
2–0 L. Boyce ⚽
64′
J. Grant 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
66′
T. Sibbick 🔁
↦ N. Atkinson
66′
67′
🔁 C. Barron
↦ J. McGrath
67′
🔁 P. Guèye
↦ L. Clarkson
68′
🔁 E. Sokler
↦ B. Miovski
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
13 N. Atkinson D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
3 S. Kingsley D
14 C. Devlin M
5 P. Haring M
11 Y. Oda M
10 L. Boyce M
77 K. Vargas M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
17 A. Forrest
8 C. Nieuwenhof
7 J. Grant
21 T. Sibbick
12 M. McGovern
22 A. Denholm
25 M. Tait
51 A. Lowry
6 B. Baningime

Coach: S. Naismith

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
24 K. Roos G
6 S. Gartenmann D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
2 N. Devlin M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
15 J. McGarry M
7 J. McGrath F
11 Duk F
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
23 R. Duncan
8 C. Barron
14 P. Guèye
19 E. Sokler
27 A. MacDonald
31 R. Doohan
3 J. MacKenzie
17 J. Hayes
21 D. Polvara

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
🔒
U
3,53
🔒
B
3,32
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,76
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,05
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.