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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Ross County
T T U U U
0–3
Full-time
Celtic
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 51%
20%
82%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
40%
73%
Both score Ø 48%
40%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

22% Possession 78%
3 Shots 39
0 Shots on target 16
0 Blocked shots 14
13 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 13
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 10. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 9 2 0 +18 29
2 Rangers 11 8 0 3 +18 24
3 St Mirren 10 5 3 2 +4 18
4 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -1 14
5 Kilmarnock 11 3 4 4 +0 13
6 Aberdeen 10 3 3 4 +0 12
7 Hibernian 11 2 5 4 -3 11
8 Motherwell 10 3 2 5 -4 11
9 Dundee 10 2 5 3 -6 11
10 Ross County 10 2 4 4 -6 10
11 Livingston 11 2 4 5 -9 10
12 ST Johnstone 10 1 4 5 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Celtic
James Brown ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
9′
James Brown 🟥
10′
W. Nightingale 🔁
↦ J. White
13′
33′
ℹ️ Hyun-gyu Oh
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
A. Samuel 🔁
↦ S. Murray
46′
B. Purrington 🔁
↦ G. Harmon
46′
52′
⚽ D. Turnbull 0–1
L. Scales
57′
🟨 Callum McGregor
61′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ Paulo Bernardo
62′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ D. Maeda
62′
🔁 K. Furuhashi
↦ D. Turnbull
K. Turner 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
69′
78′
⚽ L. Palma 0–2
C. McGregor
S. High 🔁
↦ V. Loturi
81′
81′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
81′
🔁 T. Iwata
↦ C. McGregor
83′
⚽ J. Forrest 0–3
L. Palma
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ross County

4-3-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
4 J. Brown D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
16 G. Harmon D
14 V. Loturi M
2 C. Randall M
6 S. Allardice M
10 Y. Dhanda M
15 S. Murray F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
35 W. Nightingale
25 A. Samuel
3 B. Purrington
7 K. Turner
18 S. High
27 E. Brophy
30 D. Smith
12 M. Sheaf
21 R. Munro

Coach: M. Mackay

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
28 Paulo Bernardo M
42 C. McGregor M
14 D. Turnbull M
38 D. Maeda F
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
Bench (9)
15 O. Holm
7 L. Palma
8 K. Furuhashi
49 J. Forrest
24 T. Iwata
29 S. Bain
33 M. O'Riley
6 N. Phillips
2 A. Johnston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,56
U
6,40
B ✓
1,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,64
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.