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Premiership
Referee: G Grainger
Motherwell
S T T T T
3–3
Full-time
Ross County
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
38%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 7. · Ross County 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 9 8 1 0 +17 25
2 Rangers 9 6 0 3 +12 18
3 St Mirren 8 4 3 1 +1 15
4 Dundee 9 2 5 2 -1 11
5 Hearts 9 3 2 4 -1 11
6 Kilmarnock 9 2 4 3 -1 10
7 Motherwell 8 3 1 4 -2 10
8 Livingston 10 2 4 4 -8 10
9 Aberdeen 8 2 3 3 +0 9
10 Hibernian 9 2 3 4 -3 9
11 Ross County 8 2 2 4 -6 8
12 ST Johnstone 8 0 4 4 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. May -23 Motherwell – Ross County 1–0 4. Mar -23 Ross County – Motherwell 0–2 14. Jan -23 Motherwell – Ross County 1–1 4. Oct -22 Ross County – Motherwell 0–5 7. May -22 Ross County – Motherwell 0–1

Match report

Motherwell Ross County
32′
🟨 Scott Allardice
33′
🟨 Victor Loturi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Turner
↦ Y. Dhanda
C. Wilkinson 🔁
↦ T. Bair
61′
65′
⚽ E. Brophy 0–1
K. Turner
Brodie Spencer 🟨
70′
73′
⚽ S. Murray 0–2
G. Harmon
74′
🔁 J. White
↦ S. Murray
74′
🔁 A. Samuel
↦ E. Brophy
M. Biereth 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
75′
G. Gent 🔁
↦ B. Spencer
75′
75′
🔁 S. High
↦ S. Allardice
1–2 M. Biereth ⚽
79′
83′
⚽ V. Loturi 1–3
Callum Slattery 🟨
85′
L. Ross 🔁
↦ O. Shaw
87′
2–3 C. Wilkinson ⚽
M. Biereth
88′
89′
🔁 D. Smith
↦ C. Randall
3–3 L. Ross ⚽
D. Casey
94′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

5-3-2
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
16 P. McGinn D
5 B. Mugabi D
15 D. Casey D
22 B. Spencer D
8 C. Slattery M
12 H. Paton M
7 B. Spittal M
18 O. Shaw F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
99 C. Wilkinson
24 M. Biereth
3 G. Gent
39 L. Ross
66 C. Butcher
20 S. Blaney
17 D. Zdravkovski
42 M. Ross
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Ross County

4-3-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
4 J. Brown D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
16 G. Harmon D
14 V. Loturi M
2 C. Randall M
6 S. Allardice M
10 Y. Dhanda M
15 S. Murray F
27 E. Brophy F
Bench (8)
7 K. Turner
26 J. White
25 A. Samuel
18 S. High
30 D. Smith
21 R. Munro
12 M. Sheaf
3 B. Purrington

Coach: M. Mackay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
🔒
U ✓
3,57
🔒
B
3,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,97
🔒
U2,5
1,81
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Grainger · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.