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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

St. Gallen

T S U T T

3–2

Full-time

Lugano

S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 23%

20%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

60%

25%

Both score Ø 40%

80%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

This season — Super League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 23%

20%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

60%

25%

Both score Ø 40%

80%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St. Gallen 9. · Lugano 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Basel	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Sion	4	2	1	1	+0	7
4	Thun	4	1	2	1	+1	5
5	Servette	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	Zurich	6	1	2	3	-9	5
7	Lugano	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	Luzern	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	St. Gallen	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Xamax	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Servette	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Zurich	3	1	1	1	-3	4
4	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Sion	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Thun	2	0	1	1	-1	1
7	Lugano	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	Xamax	3	0	1	2	-4	1
10	St. Gallen	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Young Boys	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Thun	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Sion	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Luzern	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Xamax	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Servette	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Zurich	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.