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2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg
T T S T T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Osnabruck
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
14 Corners 1
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 15. · Osnabruck 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 4 2 2 0 +4 8
2 Stuttgart 4 2 2 0 +2 8
3 Hamburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Erzgebirge Aue 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Greuther Furth 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Osnabruck 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Karlsruhe 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Hannover 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Darmstadt 4 1 2 1 -2 5
10 Heidenheim 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Sandhausen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Regensburg 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Holstein Kiel 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Dresden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Nurnberg 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Bochum 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 St Pauli 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Wehen 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,38
B
3,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.