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Serie A
Referee: G Manganiello
Spal
U S T T T
2–3
Full-time
Atalanta
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 14
0 Blocked shots 1
11 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Feb -19 Atalanta – Spal 2–1 17. Sep -18 Spal – Atalanta 2–0 7. Apr -18 Spal – Atalanta 1–1 5. Nov -17 Atalanta – Spal 1–1

Match report

Spal Atalanta
1–0 Federico Di Francesco ⚽
Andrea Petagna
6′
2–0 Andrea Petagna ⚽
Igor Júlio
26′
34′
⚽ Robin Gosens 2–1
Hans Hateboer
43′
🟨 Marten de Roon
Half-time 2–1
54′
🔁 Ruslan Malinovskyi
↦ Remo Freuler
55′
🔁 Luis Muriel
↦ Andrea Masiello
Mattia Valoti 🟨
61′
Alessandro Murgia 🔁
↦ Mattia Valoti
65′
70′
⚽ Luis Muriel 2–2
Alejandro Gómez
Nenad Tomović 🔁
↦ Marco D'Alessandro
71′
76′
⚽ Luis Muriel 2–3
Sergio Floccari 🔁
↦ Igor Júlio
78′
81′
🔁 Rafael Tolói
↦ Duván Zapata
Thiago Cionek 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Spal

3-5-2
99 Etrit Berisha G
4 Thiago Cionek D
23 Francesco Vicari D
27 Felipe D
77 Marco D'Alessandro M
8 Mattia Valoti M
7 Simone Missiroli M
19 Jasmin Kurtić M
3 Igor Júlio M
37 Andrea Petagna F
31 Federico Di Francesco F
Bench (12)
25 Karlo Letica
22 Demba Thiam
24 Lorenzo Dickmann
40 Nenad Tomović
67 Paolo Cannistrà
21 Gabriel Strefezza
11 Alessandro Murgia
95 Marko Janković
6 Mirko Valdifiori
9 Gabriele Moncini
43 Alberto Paloschi
10 Sergio Floccari

Coach: L. Semplici

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
95 Pierluigi Gollini G
19 Berat Djimsiti D
6 José Luis Palomino D
5 Andrea Masiello D
33 Hans Hateboer M
15 Marten de Roon M
11 Remo Freuler M
8 Robin Gosens M
88 Mario Pašalić F
10 Alejandro Gómez F
91 Duván Zapata F
Bench (8)
64 Khadim Ndiaye
31 Francesco Rossi
2 Rafael Tolói
37 Martin Škrtel
41 Ibañez
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi
9 Luis Muriel
99 Musa Barrow

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,89
🔒
U
3,61
🔒
B ✓
1,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,00
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.