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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Hartberg
T T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Mattersburg
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Mattersburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
4,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
73%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
4,0
4,4
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
2,1
2,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 6. · Mattersburg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 11 9 2 0 +37 29
2 LASK 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Wolfsberger AC 11 7 2 2 +17 23
4 SK Rapid 11 6 3 2 +9 21
5 Sturm Graz 11 5 2 4 +5 17
6 Hartberg 11 4 3 4 -2 15
7 Austria Vienna 11 3 3 5 -6 12
8 Mattersburg 11 3 1 7 -16 10
9 Tirol 11 2 3 6 -8 9
10 Admira 11 2 2 7 -17 8
11 Altach 11 2 1 8 -13 7
12 St. Polten 11 1 4 6 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Mattersburg
23′
🟨 Andreas Gruber
25′
🟨 Philipp Erhardt
1–0 Michael Huber
28′
Half-time 1–0
Bakary Nimaga 🟨
47′
Jodel Dossou 🔁
↦ Stefan Rakowitz
53′
55′
🟨 Florian Hart
56′
🔁 Alois Höller
↦ Christoph Halper
64′
Andreas Kuen 1–1
Sandro Gotal 🔁
↦ Lukas Ried
73′
73′
🔁 Victor Olatunji
↦ Patrick Bürger
2–1 Rajko Rep
78′
81′
🔁 Marko Kvasina
↦ Philipp Erhardt
Thomas Rotter 🔁
↦ Dario Tadić
86′
89′
🟨 Alois Höller
3–1 Jodel Dossou
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 Rene Swete G
6 Andreas Lienhart D
4 Michael Huber D
32 Felix Luckeneder D
14 Christian Klem D
42 Bakary Nimaga M
10 Stefan Rakowitz M
18 David Cancola M
9 Rajko Rep M
27 Lukas Ried M
24 Dario Tadić F
Bench (7)
21 Florian Faist
23 Tobias Kainz
7 Siegfried Rasswalder
26 Patrick Obermuller
31 Thomas Rotter
20 Jodel Dossou
40 Sandro Gotal

Coach: M. Schopp

Mattersburg

4-1-4-1
13 Tino Casali G
21 Patrick Salomon D
31 Thorsten Mahrer D
18 Lukas Rath D
12 Florian Hart D
10 Jano M
11 Andreas Gruber M
6 Philipp Erhardt M
30 Andreas Kuen M
14 Christoph Halper M
33 Patrick Bürger F
Bench (7)
1 Markus Kuster
4 Nedeljko Malić
5 Michael Lercher
7 Fabian Miesenböck
8 Alois Höller
20 Victor Olatunji
9 Marko Kvasina

Coach: F. Ponweiser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.