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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

St. Polten

T U T T U

0–4

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

3,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

45%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

73%

36%

Both score Ø 41%

45%

36%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 6

22 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Polten 12. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	9	2	0	+37	29
2	LASK	11	8	2	1	+17	26
3	Wolfsberger AC	11	7	2	2	+17	23
4	SK Rapid	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Sturm Graz	11	5	2	4	+5	17
6	Hartberg	11	4	3	4	-2	15
7	Austria Vienna	11	3	3	5	-6	12
8	Mattersburg	11	3	1	7	-16	10
9	Tirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9
10	Admira	11	2	2	7	-17	8
11	Altach	11	2	1	8	-13	7
12	St. Polten	11	1	4	6	-23	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	6	0	0	+25	18
2	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	1	1	+14	13
3	Sturm Graz	6	3	1	2	+5	10
4	LASK	5	2	2	1	+6	8
5	SK Rapid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
6	Altach	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Hartberg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Austria Vienna	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Admira	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Tirol	5	1	1	3	-5	4
11	Mattersburg	6	1	1	4	-7	4
12	St. Polten	5	0	2	3	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	SK Rapid	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Salzburg	5	3	2	0	+12	11
4	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Hartberg	6	2	2	2	-3	8
6	Sturm Graz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Mattersburg	5	2	0	3	-9	6
8	Tirol	6	1	2	3	-3	5
9	Austria Vienna	6	1	2	3	-4	5
10	St. Polten	6	1	2	3	-12	5
11	Admira	6	1	1	4	-13	4
12	Altach	5	0	0	5	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.