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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

Tirol

U U T T T

4–2

Full-time

Ried

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,9

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

65% Possession 35%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 12. · Ried 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	8	0	0	+17	24
2	Sturm Graz	8	5	2	1	+11	17
3	Ried	8	3	3	2	-6	12
4	Hartberg	8	2	3	3	+1	9
5	Admira	8	2	3	3	+0	9
6	Altach	8	2	3	3	-2	9
7	Wolfsberger AC	8	2	3	3	-4	9
8	A. Klagenfurt	8	2	3	3	-5	9
9	SK Rapid	8	2	2	4	+0	8
10	Austria Vienna	8	1	5	2	+0	8
11	LASK	8	1	4	3	-4	7
12	Tirol	8	0	5	3	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
3	Ried	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	A. Klagenfurt	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	SK Rapid	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Admira	4	1	2	1	+3	5
7	Austria Vienna	4	0	4	0	+0	4
8	Altach	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Tirol	4	0	3	1	-2	3
11	LASK	4	0	2	2	-4	2
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Hartberg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	LASK	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Altach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	2	1	-2	5
7	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Admira	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	SK Rapid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
10	Tirol	4	0	2	2	-6	2
11	Ried	4	0	2	2	-9	2
12	A. Klagenfurt	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.