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Bundesliga
Referee: J Semler
2–0
Full-time
Tirol
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
38%
19%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 41%
33%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 7. · Tirol 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 22 15 5 2 +33 50
2 Sturm Graz 21 13 6 2 +22 45
3 LASK 22 9 8 5 +8 35
4 Hartberg 21 9 6 6 +5 33
5 A. Klagenfurt 21 8 9 4 +2 33
6 SK Rapid 21 8 8 5 +17 32
7 Austria Vienna 21 8 6 7 +1 30
8 Wolfsberger AC 21 8 5 8 -3 29
9 BW Linz 21 4 7 10 -14 19
10 Altach 21 4 6 11 -13 18
11 Tirol 21 4 2 15 -20 14
12 A. Lustenau 21 1 4 16 -38 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Tirol
28′
ℹ️ Nik Prelec
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Lucas Galvão 🟨
36′
1–0 D. Fitz
41′
Half-time 1–0
Frans Krätzig 🟨
54′
Dominik Fitz 🟨
64′
M. Husković 🔁
↦ R. Vučić
65′
66′
🔁 J. Forst
↦ A. Buksa
67′
🔁 V. Müller
↦ J. Naschberger
79′
🔁 L. Kronberger
↦ T. Geris
80′
🟨 Felix Bacher
A. Schmidt 🔁
↦ A. Gruber
80′
Muharem Husković ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
2–0 D. Fitz
88′
M. Wels 🔁
↦ D. Fitz
93′
94′
🔁 Y. Vötter
↦ B. Blume
Reinhold Ranftl ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
98′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-1-2
1 C. Früchtl G
46 J. Handl D
24 T. Plavotić D
3 Lucas Galvão D
26 R. Ranftl M
30 M. Fischer M
41 F. Krätzig M
21 H. Guenouche M
36 D. Fitz F
17 A. Gruber F
27 R. Vučić F
Bench (7)
9 M. Husković
33 A. Schmidt
37 M. Wels
40 M. Meisl
14 D. Ewemade
8 J. Holland
99 M. Kos

Coach: M. Wimmer

Tirol

3-5-2
40 A. Stejskal G
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
26 D. Štumberger D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
10 B. Blume M
17 J. Naschberger M
98 S. Ogrinec M
28 T. Geris M
11 A. Buksa F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
19 J. Forst
4 V. Müller
7 L. Kronberger
21 Y. Vötter
1 P. Schermer
27 D. Jaunegg
3 D. Gugganig

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Semler · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.