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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Sturm Graz

U T S T S

0–0

Full-time

Hartberg

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

60%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%

37 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

19 Corners 1

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sturm Graz 3. · Hartberg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Salzburg	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Sturm Graz	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	A. Lustenau	6	3	1	2	-2	10
5	Austria Vienna	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Tirol	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	-4	5
10	A. Klagenfurt	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	Ried	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Altach	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Hartberg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	A. Lustenau	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Austria Vienna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Altach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	A. Klagenfurt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ried	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Tirol	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Salzburg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Sturm Graz	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
7	SK Rapid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Tirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	A. Klagenfurt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
10	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
11	Ried	3	0	0	3	-4	0
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.