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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Hartberg

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Grazer AK

T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 12. · Grazer AK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Sturm Graz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Austria Vienna	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	BW Linz	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Altach	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	LASK	4	1	0	3	-2	3
11	Grazer AK	4	0	2	2	-3	2
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	BW Linz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Austria Vienna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sturm Graz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	A. Klagenfurt	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
3	LASK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Altach	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Tirol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	SK Rapid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	BW Linz	2	0	1	1	-4	1
11	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.