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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
BW Linz
U T T S S
4–1
Full-time
Hartberg
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
62%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
22 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match BW Linz 7. · Hartberg 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 21 13 4 4 +21 43
2 Austria Vienna 21 13 4 4 +15 43
3 Wolfsberger AC 21 11 3 7 +15 36
4 Salzburg 21 9 8 4 +10 35
5 SK Rapid 21 8 7 6 +5 31
6 LASK 21 9 4 8 +1 31
7 BW Linz 21 9 3 9 -2 30
8 Hartberg 21 6 8 7 -4 26
9 A. Klagenfurt 21 5 5 11 -22 20
10 Tirol 21 4 7 10 -9 19
11 Grazer AK 21 3 7 11 -15 16
12 Altach 21 3 6 12 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

BW Linz Hartberg
1–0 E. Bakatukanda ⚽
16′
27′
🔁 P. Mijić
↦ E. Havel
40′
⚽ P. Mijić 1–1
F. Demir
42′
ℹ️ Patrik Mijić
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 1–1
S. Seidl 🔁
↦ Anderson
46′
47′
🟨 Furkan Demir
2–1 A. Pašić ⚽
48′
63′
🟨 Paul Komposch
68′
🔁 F. Wilfinger
↦ F. Demir
69′
🔁 J. Drew
↦ M. Husković
3–1 Ronivaldo ⚽
70′
A. Schmidt 🔁
↦ P. Mensah
72′
76′
🟨 Mateo Karamatić
K. Dobras 🔁
↦ Ronivaldo
76′
Soumaila Diabate 🟨
84′
F. Strauß 🔁
↦ A. Pašić
85′
4–1 K. Dobras ⚽
86′
91′
🔁 M. Hoffmann
↦ T. Kainz
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

BW Linz

3-4-2-1
1 R. Vítek G
17 A. Pašić D
15 M. Maranda D
4 E. Bakatukanda D
28 Anderson M
18 S. Diabaté M
19 A. Briedl M
60 S. Pirkl M
10 P. Mensah F
27 T. Goiginger F
9 Ronivaldo F
Bench (7)
20 S. Seidl
13 A. Schmidt
30 K. Dobras
2 F. Strauß
24 T. Turner
14 J. Gölles
8 O. Wähling

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Hartberg

3-4-1-2
1 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
14 P. Komposch D
6 M. Karamatić D
61 F. Demir M
23 T. Kainz M
4 B. Markuš M
20 M. Pfeifer M
10 D. Avdijaj F
33 M. Husković F
7 E. Havel F
Bench (7)
9 P. Mijić
18 F. Wilfinger
79 J. Drew
22 M. Hoffmann
95 D. Kovacevic
21 L. Marić
19 R. Hofer

Coach: M. Karner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.