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Bundesliga
Referee: D Pfister
LASK
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Grazer AK
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Grazer AK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
43%
13%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
70%
65%
Both score Ø 72%
74%
70%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 6. · Grazer AK 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 24 15 5 4 +25 50
2 Austria Vienna 23 15 4 4 +19 49
3 Salzburg 23 11 8 4 +13 41
4 Wolfsberger AC 23 11 4 8 +14 37
5 SK Rapid 24 9 7 8 +4 34
6 LASK 23 10 4 9 +1 34
7 BW Linz 23 10 3 10 -1 33
8 Hartberg 23 6 8 9 -8 26
9 A. Klagenfurt 23 6 6 11 -21 24
10 Tirol 23 4 8 11 -11 20
11 Grazer AK 23 3 8 12 -18 17
12 Altach 23 3 7 13 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -25 Grazer AK – LASK 0–0 21. Sep -24 LASK – Grazer AK 4–2

Match report

LASK Grazer AK
Melayro Bogarde 🟨
29′
35′
🟨 Martin Kreuzriegler
Half-time 0–0
M. Cissé 🔁
↦ H. Smolčić
46′
R. Žulj 🔁
↦ C. Lang
46′
46′
🔁 A. Tikvić
↦ M. Kreuzriegler
58′
🔁 T. Schriebl
↦ M. Şatin
58′
🔁 C. Lichtenberger
↦ L. Kleinheisler
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ I. Coulibaly
70′
S. Adeniran 🔁
↦ M. Entrup
70′
70′
🔁 J. Italiano
↦ D. Frieser
0–1 M. Jovičić ⚽
own goal
71′
Modou Kéba Cissé 🟨
77′
Branko Jovičić 🟨
84′
Melayro Bogarde 🟨
86′
Melayro Bogarde 🟥
86′
86′
🔁 M. Perchtold
↦ M. Jovičić
Florian Flecker 🟨
91′
93′
ℹ️ Zétény Jánó
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

LASK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Lawal G
18 B. Jovičić D
5 P. Ziereis D
26 H. Smolčić D
6 M. Bogarde D
32 I. Coulibaly M
30 S. Horvath M
9 K. Daněk M
27 C. Lang M
29 F. Flecker M
11 M. Entrup F
Bench (7)
48 M. Cissé
10 R. Žulj
21 I. Ljubic
7 S. Adeniran
47 Q. Tchicamboud
33 T. Schützenauer
35 M. Sulzner

Coach: M. Schopp

Grazer AK

3-4-2-1
44 F. Wiegele G
30 M. Jovičić D
5 P. Filipović D
4 M. Kreuzriegler D
28 D. Frieser M
7 M. Şatin M
6 S. Fofana M
27 B. Rosenberger M
8 L. Kleinheisler F
18 Z. Jánó F
11 T. Cipot F
Bench (7)
3 A. Tikvić
20 T. Schriebl
10 C. Lichtenberger
14 J. Italiano
13 M. Perchtold
19 M. Gantschnig
1 J. Meierhofer

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Pfister · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.